Samsung's Galaxy S III and Apple's iPhone 5 are two of the
most popular smartphone models in existence right now, and they both happen to
be on the higher end of the pricing spectrum. Barring any special promotions or
sales pricing, each device will typically set you back $200 with a two-year
service agreement, which is the norm for a top-of-the-line device.
By 2017,
however, lower cost smartphones will dominate the mainstream market. So says a
study from research firm Informa, which predicts that just over half -- 52
percent -- of all smartphones will be priced below $150 by 2017.
"As the market develops, the supply chain will
increasingly be divided between two camps – the innovators who will continue to
introduce new features and high-performance components to the market place and
followers who will take this innovation to the mass market in later
years," says Malik Saadi, principal analyst at Informa Telecoms &
Media.
Informa predicts that the market share for expensive
smartphones will shrink from 85 percent in 2011 to just 33 percent in 2017. In
the same time frame, Informa says the average price of a smartphone will drop
from $188 to $152, in part because of huge demand for entry-level smartphones
in emerging markets.
The dramatic shift Informa sees taking place could take its
toll on a number of established vendors.
"Nokia, LG, HTC, Motorola, and Sony will find it hard
to adapt to the new smartphone landscape as this could take them away from
their core business, servicing the core smartphone market," Informa points
out. "These players will have to make a strategic decision to either fight
in the high-end segment, a market strongly monopolized by Samsung and Apple, or
alternatively face stiff competition by assemblers and Chinese ODMs in the low-end
segment of the market."
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